ISSUE IRAQ:
IRAQ Benchmarks: Reality Check 7/15/07
source: AP
Political
GOAL: Legislation
to restore political, government and military positions to selected
members of Saddam Hussein's Baath party.
PROGRESS: Unsatisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: Some draft plans have been discussed in Iraqi parliament,
but there's been no action.
GOAL: An oil law to
share wealth among Sunnis, Shiites, Kurds and other Iraqi groups.
PROGRESS: Unsatisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: Sunnis and Kurds sharply differ on control of their
oil fields.
GOAL: Review the 2005
constitution and recommend amendments to meet Sunni demands.
PROGRESS: Satisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: A review committee has held meetings but asked for
more time to finish. Kurds and Shiites want very limited changes.
GOAL: Ensuring rights
of minority political parties in parliament.
PROGRESS: Satisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: Progress has stalled as tensions remain very high between
Sunni parties and the Shiite-led government. Feuding between Shiite
parties also has increased.
Military and security
GOAL: Allowing Iraqi
military and police to operate independently and with "evenhanded
enforcement."
PROGRESS: Unsatisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: U.S. commanders say Iraqi forces
are not at full strength and training is slowed by desertions and
equipment shortages. U.S. estimates say Iraq's security forces could
be months — even years — away
from operating effectively without American reinforcements.
GOAL: Reducing sectarian
violence and eliminating militia control of security forces.
PROGRESS: Unsatisfactory,
but with some progress.
REALITY CHECK: Militias
still influence the Shiite-led security forces. Overall violence declined
because of a Baghdad security crackdown in February, but it's climbing
again.
GOAL: Provide three
trained Iraqi brigades to support operations in Baghdad.
PROGRESS: Satisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: The units are in place, but not at full strength. Kurdish
forces show the best capabilities so far. Others lag.
GOAL: Establishing
U.S.-Iraq joint security stations in Baghdad neighborhoods to gain
better contact with residents.
PROGRESS:
Satisfactory.
REALITY
CHECK: Most have been set up, but some have come under attack.
Questions remain about the effectiveness of the civilian outreach.
GOAL: Laws to begin
disarming militias and demanding loyalty to the central government.
PROGRESS:
Too early to assess.
REALITY CHECK: Such
reforms are extremely difficult and directly challenge cultural and
tribal traditions.